Anna Clark, at Columbia Journalism Review, reports on “an exhaustive, densely analytical, data-rich four-part series (one, two, three, four) on partisan polarization in metropolitan Milwaukee, produced this month by the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.” As Clark, notes, this series presents a serious challenge to the conventional wisdom that says high quality, deeply explanatory and data-driven journalism is only possible at the national level.
Political Scientist Ben Highton explains:
If the 2016 presidential vote is evenly split between the parties, which one is more likely to win the Electoral College and therefore the presidency? I estimate that the Democrats’ chances of winning the Electoral College vote are between 83 and 89 percent, giving them a significant advantage. This argument contrasts with those who are cautious of a Democratic advantage, such as Jonathan Bernstein and Harry Enten. The reason I predict such a significant advantage is because of ongoing, long-term trends altering the electoral outlook in a number of key swing states… (keep reading)
Highton offer a more technical explanation of his methodology here.
Recently, Jesse A. Myerson has defended five economic reforms that he thinks fellow members of his Millennial Generation should “start fighting for, pronto, if we want to grow old in a just, fair society, rather than the economic hellhole our parents have handed us.” Myerson’s proposal is ambitious, including “Guaranteed Work for Everybody” and “Social Security for All [aka universal basic income]”. As one might expect, conservatives and libertarians have been highly critical. One fellow Millennial accused Myerson of trying to convince their generation to have “their livelihoods funded and assigned by the state,” thus completely ignoring the lesson they all were taught by “Lois Lowry’s The Giver in middle school.”
The website “I Side With” offers a fun and interesting way to learn which political party best represents your (current) political views. Similar to “Political Compass,” which helps you to better understand your ideological orientation, I Side With tells you the percent of issues on which you agree with five U.S. political parties: Democrats, Republicans, Libertarians, Greens, and Socialists.
How well do you know your political self? How well do other Civitas readers know their political selves? Let’s find out! Take a minute to fill-out this survey and then spend about five minutes taking the I Side With quiz. After completing it, report the results of that quiz on this form. Once there are enough responses, I will post the results of the two surveys so that all can see how well, on average, Civitas users know their level of agreement with those five political parties.
[Photo is of the temple of the Delphic Oracle, upon which (of course) is inscribed “Know Thyself.”]